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Betting Systems

 

Our Unit Betting System

All of our Premium Picks are rated based on our Unit Betting System. Each Premium Pick is released with a corresponding “unit” that will help you decide how much to wager on each pick.

Our Unit Betting System ranges from 1 to 5 units. A 1 unit bet being the lowest and less confident bet and a 5 unit bet being the highest and more confident bet. On average most Premium Picks range from 1 to 3 units. A 4-unit bet would be considered a “Best Bet” of the week, but is not guaranteed to occur each week. A 5-unit bet is rare and is not likely to occur often throughout the season.

The value of a unit will be determined by your bankroll, but for this example we will assume that 1 unit is worth $100. If you purchase our Silver Picks Package, you will be purchasing our Top 8 Picks of the week. Let’s assume that one of these picks is a 3-unit pick. If you are betting $100 per unit, you would wager $300 ($330 to win $300). If you choose to bet on a 2-unit pick, we recommend that you wager $200 ($220 to win $200). If you choose to bet on a 1-unit pick, we recommend that you wager $100 ($110 to win $100).

If your bankroll was much smaller, you might set the value of 1 unit at $20. Therefore if you were to bet a 1-unit pick you would wager $20 ($22 to win $20), if you were to bet a 3-unit pick you would wager $60 ($66 to win $60) and if you were to bet a 5-unit pick you would wager $100 ($110 to win $100).

 

Frequently Asked Questions:

Q: How do you decide what a unit should be worth?

A: This is completely up to you to determine how much money you are able to dedicate to your bankroll for the season, but here are a few pointers. We suggest taking your bankroll and dividing by 20 (roughly the number of weeks in the regular and post season). This value should represent 5% of your bankroll. We suggest never betting more than 5% of your bankroll on any given week of football. There are many reasons for this, but mainly because you want to protect your bankroll incase you happen to occur a series of losses. So Let’s assume your bankroll for the football season is $5000. This means that you have $250 (5%) available each week to bet with.

Based on the example above, we are assuming that you have a season bankroll of $5000 and a weekly betting allowance of $250 (5%). If you were to purchase our Bronze Picks Package (Top 4 Picks), let’s assume it contained two 3-unit picks and two 2-unit picks. If you choose to bet all four picks, you would have 10 units worth of bets to place. To determine how much a unit is worth each week, you must divide your allowance ($250) by the total number of units you plan to wager (10 units) that week. This results is $25 per unit. Based on 1 unit equaling $25, you would wager $50 on each 2-unit pick (total of $100) and $75 on each 3-unit pick (total of $150) for a combined total of $250 which matches your weekly allowance.


Q: How many picks should I bet each week?

A: Once again this is completely up to you, but here are a few more suggestions. The majority of this will be determined by your bankroll and your weekly allowance. If you purchase our Bronze Picks Package which contains our Top 4 Picks, the total number of units amongst those picks might equal around 10 units. If you have a weekly allowance $250, you could easily bet all 4 picks at $25 per unit. Although, if your weekly allowance was only $25, it wouldn’t be wise to assume that you could bet $2.50 per unit and turn a reasonable profit. We recommend betting at least $20 per unit, but we also understand that this is not always an option for some bettors.

We tend to take more of a volume approach when it comes to betting with our Unit Betting System. We have found that in most situations the average bettor will earn a higher profit if he chooses to bet all picks with the associated unit value that we release. Who do you think will yield a higher profit, a handicapper who has a 55% percent success rate or a handicapper who has a 60% success rate? Let’s assume that the handicapper with the 55% rate takes the volume approach and bets on 160 picks throughout the season which averages about 8 picks per week. Lets also assume that the handicapper with the 60% success rate chooses to only bet the highest unit game for each week. If the 55% handicapper finishes the season with a 88-72 record (out of 160 picks), and chose to bet the Top 8 picks each week at an average of 2 units per pick, he would have finished with a +32 unit record. If the 60% handicapper finishes the season with a 12-8 record (out of 20 picks), and chose to bet only the top unit pick each week at an average of 3 units per pick, he would have finished with a +12 unit record. In this example, we demonstrate how taking a volume approach when attempting to decide how many picks to choose each week can result in higher profits. Therefore, consider our Gold Picks Package that includes all games (up to 16) for each week and includes over/under predictions for every game!


NOTE: Don’t be fooled by other handicappers that claim to have +1000 unit records. In these situations, so called handicappers usually release 10-unit to 100-unit picks causing their record to appear dramatically inflated. That is also assuming that you can trust the source…

 



 

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